(the) smart money is on (someone or something)

(the) smart money is on (someone or something)

Something is likely to happen or someone is likely to succeed; it would be wise to bet on or invest money in someone or something. Smart money is on a win by the home team in this game. Trust me, the smart money is on Jill. She always finds a way to come out on top.
See also: money, on, smart
Farlex Dictionary of Idioms.

the smart money is on something

If you say that the smart money is on a particular event happening, you mean that thing is likely to happen. The smart money is on Labour winning at the next election. Note: You can also say the smart money says something, with the same meaning. The smart money says that Jarvis is likely to succeed him as manager.
See also: money, on, smart, something
Collins COBUILD Idioms Dictionary, 3rd ed.

the ˈsmart money is on somebody/something

if the smart money is on somebody or something, people with intelligence or knowledge think somebody will succeed or something will happen: This year, the smart money is on Roe to win the tournament.
See also: money, on, smart, somebody, something
Farlex Partner Idioms Dictionary
See also:
  • the smart money is on somebody/something
  • the smart money is on something
  • What's the betting (line)
  • what's the betting...?
  • cards are stacked against
  • odds are against one
  • a recipe for disaster
  • a recipe for disaster, success, etc.
  • recipe
  • a recipe for (something)